Varvara Lepchenko vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Can second serve performance influence the match outcome? Varvara Lepchenko has a slight edge here, winning 42.02% of points compared to Lucciana Perez Alarcon's 36.79% in the last 6 months.
• Analyzing return games, Lucciana Perez Alarcon fares better against first serves, winning 37.90% of return points, whereas Lepchenko's stat is 31.10%.
• In terms of saving breakpoints, Lepchenko narrowly outperforms Perez Alarcon, saving 47.69% compared to 45.10% of breakpoints.
• Who has been more consistent over the past year? Lucciana Perez Alarcon shows a higher winning percentage at 72.41%, whereas Lepchenko's is 52.63%.
• Both players excel on clay with identical winning percentages; however, Perez Alarcon has struggled more on hard surfaces, winning just 60%.
• Variety in competition level favors Perez Alarcon, who has a superior record in Challenger/ITF tournaments > $10K with a win rate of 72.41%.
• Facing stronger opponents, Lepchenko has a wider exposure with an average rival rank of 210.61, versus Perez Alarcon's 419.59.
• Why is deciding set performance critical? Lepchenko shines here, winning 61% of deciding sets, whereas Perez Alarcon manages just 40%.
• On break point conversion, Perez Alarcon is more efficient, converting 40.00% of chances, compared to Lepchenko's 35.47%.

Editorial Prediction (November 28, 2025, UTC):

Varvara Lepchenko has demonstrated strength in second serve points and crucial match moments like deciding sets and breakpoint saves. These are key aspects that often determine the outcome of tight matches.

On the other hand, Lucciana Perez Alarcon shows strong consistency in winning matches in the last year and has an edge in returning first serves and converting break points. However, Perez Alarcon's overall success has come against lower-ranked opponents, which may skew expectations.

Taking these factors into account, while both players have areas of advantage, Varvara Lepchenko's performance under pressure and ability to win deciding sets may just give her the upper hand. Therefore, Lepchenko is the likely winner of this upcoming match.